EDHEC: Robust Risk Estimation and Hedging: A Reverse Stress Testing Approach

Traditional risk modeling using Value-at-Risk (VaR) is widely viewed as ill equipped for dealing with tail risks. As a result, scenario-based portfolio stress testing is increasingly being promoted as central to the risk management process. A recent innovation in portfolio stress testing endorsed by regulators, called reverse stress testing, is intended to identify economic scenarios that will threaten a financial firm’s viability, but do so without injecting the manager’s cognitive biases

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